Advanced to the general election
Marilyn Strickland 47.4%
Advanced to the general election
Chris D. Chung 31.5%
Riding profile
WA-10
The question
WA-10: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 28.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| HereWA-10 | 64.4% | 35.6% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +10.0 | 44.9% −9.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
WA-10, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 64% vote share, against 36% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
STRICKLAND, MARILYN
Sits with Democrat
Primary race
Primary results
Held Aug 4, 2026 · Certified official result
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Strickland, Marilyn
-
Republican Open seat Chris D. Chung
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026