Advanced to the general election
John Braun 39.7%
Advanced to the general election
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 36.4%
Riding profile
WA-3
The question
WA-3: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| HereWA-3 | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +1.6 | 44.9% −0.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
District polls
Polls in this district
3 polls
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College Northwest Progressive Institute | 8–Jul 10 | 500 | LV | link | |
| Co/Efficient NRCC | 25–Apr 29 | 982 | LV | link | |
| Co/Efficient NRCC | 25–Apr 29 | 982 | LV | link |
District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.
Editorial read
WA-3, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 56% vote share, against 44% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
GLUESENKAMP PEREZ, MARIE
Sits with Democrat
Primary race
Primary results
Held Aug 4, 2026 · Certified official result
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Gluesenkamp Perez, Marie
-
Republican Challenger Braun, John
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026