Riding profile

WA-3

US House district — WA · Mixed · us wa

The question

WA-3: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

WA-3, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 53% vote share, against 47% for the Republicans, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

GLUESENKAMP PEREZ, MARIE

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Gluesenkamp Perez, Marie

  • Democrat Challenger

    Hennrich, Brent William

  • Democrat Challenger

    Rasband, Troy Austin

  • Republican Challenger

    Barran, Antony

  • Republican Challenger

    Braun, John

Current forecast

Democrat

Competitive

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
5.7
P(close race)
30%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 52.9%
  • Republican 47.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereWA-3 52.9%47.1%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +1.0 46.6% +0.5

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

District polls

Polls in this district

3 polls

Pollster Field dates Sample Pop. Topline Source
Emerson College Northwest Progressive Institute 8–Jul 10 500 LV
Republican 43 Democrat 42
link
Co/Efficient NRCC 25–Apr 29 982 LV
Republican 41 Democrat 34
link
Co/Efficient NRCC 25–Apr 29 982 LV
Democrat 45 Republican 44
link

District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
3.9 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026