Riding profile
WA-2
The question
WA-2: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Editorial read
WA-2, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 28-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 67% vote share, against 33% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
LARSEN, RICK
Sits with Democrat
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Democrat Incumbent Larsen, Rick
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 33.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| HereWA-2 | 66.8% | 33.2% |
| National averageUnited States | 51.9% +14.9 | 46.6% −13.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · US HOUSE_2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026