Winner
Everett Wess 54.6%
Riding profile
Alabama
The question
Alabama: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.5
- P(close race)
- 4%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereAlabama | 57.6% | 42.0% | 0.4% |
| National averageUnited States | 48.9% +8.6 | 46.7% −4.6 | 4.4% −4.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 100 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
District polls
Polls in this district
1 poll
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes. Every Kid. Foundation. | 8–Jul 11 | 601 | LV | link |
District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.
Editorial read
Alabama, a mixed riding in AL, has no direct baseline for the current cycle. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 58% vote share, against 42% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
TUBERVILLE, THOMAS H
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held Jun 16, 2026 · Certified official result
Advanced to a runoff
Barry Moore 39.2%
Advanced to a runoff
Jared Hudson 25.6%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Challenger
Hudson, Jared
-
Democrat Open seat Wess, Everett W
- Republican Open seat
Moore, Felix Barry
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_senate_2026