Riding profile

Delaware

US Senate seat — DE · us sen de

The question

Delaware: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
28.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 63.0%
  • Republican 34.4%
  • Other 2.7%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. AlaskaRepublican71 %2.3 pt margin
  2. IowaRepublican53 %2.7 pt margin
  3. TexasDemocrat66 %3.2 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereDelaware 63.0%34.4%2.7%
National averageUnited States 46.7% +16.3 48.9% −14.6 4.4% −1.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 100 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Delaware, a mixed riding in DE, has no direct baseline for the current cycle. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 63% vote share, against 34% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

COONS, CHRISTOPHER A.

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Coons, Christopher A.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Beardsley, Christopher Mr.

  • Republican Challenger

    Katz, Michael S Dr.

  • Republican Challenger

    Shulli, John

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_senate_2026