Riding profile

Georgia

US Senate seat — GA · us sen ga

The question

Georgia: can the Democrats hold this seat?

Editorial read

Georgia, a mixed riding in GA, has no direct baseline for the current cycle. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 53% vote share, against 46% for the Republicans, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

OSSOFF, T. JONATHAN

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

Democrat Incumbent

Ossoff, T. Jonathan
Republican Challenger

Box, Reagan
Republican Challenger

Carter, Earl Leroy
Republican Challenger

Clement, Christina Loren Rev Dr Truste
Republican Challenger

Collins, Michael A Jr
Republican Challenger

Dooley, Derek
Republican Challenger

King, John
Republican Challenger

Mccolumn, Jonathan Mr

Current forecast

Democrat

Competitive

Probability: 83%
Mean margin (pts): 9.1
P(close race): 31%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Democrat 53.5%
Republican 45.8%
Other 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Democrat	Republican	Other
HereGeorgia	53.5%	45.8%	0.7%
National averageUnited States	48.3% +5.2	48.8% −3.0	2.9% −2.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 100 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 14, 2026
Cycle: us_senate_2026