Riding profile

Colorado

US Senate seat — CO · us sen co

The question

Colorado: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

Colorado, a mixed riding in CO, has no direct baseline for the current cycle. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 59% vote share, against 39% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

HICKENLOOPER, JOHN W.

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Hickenlooper, John W.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Breslin, Karen

  • Democrat Challenger

    Gonzales, Julie

  • Democrat Challenger

    Hasley, Brashad D

  • Other Challenger

    Chew, Bob

  • Other Challenger

    Chew, Robert

  • Other Challenger

    Pond, Sean M.

  • Republican Challenger

    Baisley, Mark

  • Republican Challenger

    Joshi, Janak

  • Republican Challenger

    Markert, George Washington Mr V

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
20.2
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 58.9%
  • Republican 38.7%
  • Other 2.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereColorado 58.9%38.7%2.3%
National averageUnited States 48.3% +10.6 48.8% −10.0 2.9% −0.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 100 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_senate_2026