Riding profile

Mississippi

US Senate seat — MS · us sen ms

The question

Mississippi: can the Republicans hold this seat?

Editorial read

Mississippi, a mixed riding in MS, has no direct baseline for the current cycle. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 52% vote share, against 46% for the Democrats, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

HYDE-SMITH, CINDY

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Hyde-Smith, Cindy

  • Democrat Challenger

    Colom, Scott

  • Democrat Challenger

    Till, Priscilla Williams

  • Democrat Challenger

    Till, Priscilla Williams

  • Other Challenger

    Pinkins, Ty

  • Republican Challenger

    Adlakha, Sarah Anne Dr

Current forecast

Republican

Competitive

Probability
80%
Mean margin (pts)
8.5
P(close race)
34%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 52.3%
  • Democrat 45.6%
  • Other 2.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat Other
HereMississippi 52.3%45.6%2.1%
National averageUnited States 48.8% +3.5 48.3% −2.7 2.9% −0.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 100 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_senate_2026