Riding profile

Nebraska

US Senate seat — NE · us sen ne

The question

Nebraska: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

Nebraska, a mixed riding in NE, has no direct baseline for the current cycle. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 55% vote share, against 43% for the Democrats, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

RICKETTS, PETE

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Ricketts, Pete

  • Other Challenger

    Marvin, Mike

  • Other Challenger

    Osborn, Dan

  • Republican Challenger

    Sasse, Benjamin E.

Current forecast

Republican

Competitive

Probability
95%
Mean margin (pts)
12.2
P(close race)
17%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 54.5%
  • Democrat 42.7%
  • Other 2.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat Other
HereNebraska 54.5%42.7%2.8%
National averageUnited States 48.8% +5.8 48.3% −5.7 2.9% −0.1

Nationwide averages computed across the 100 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_senate_2026