Riding profile

Wyoming

US Senate seat — WY · us sen wy

The question

Wyoming: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

Wyoming, a mixed riding in WY, has no direct baseline for the current cycle. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 67% vote share, against 30% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

LUMMIS, CYNTHIA MARIE MRS.

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Lummis, Cynthia Marie Mrs.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Byrd, James Willard Mr.

  • Republican Open seat

    Hageman, Harriet

  • Republican Open seat

    Rasner, Reid

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
36.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 67.1%
  • Democrat 30.2%
  • Other 2.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat Other
HereWyoming 67.1%30.2%2.7%
National averageUnited States 48.8% +18.3 48.3% −18.2 2.9% −0.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 100 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_senate_2026