Riding profile

Long Range Mountains

Federal riding — NL · Rural · atlantic

The question

Long Range Mountains: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Long Range Mountains, a rural riding in Newfoundland and Labrador, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 44% vote share, against 41% for the Liberal Party, and the race could swing. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 99% anglophone.

Sitting member

Carol Anstey

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
90%
Mean margin (pts)
3.7
P(close race)
72%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 44.2%
  • Liberal 40.8%
  • NDP 4.3%
  • PPC 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal NDP PPC
HereLong Range Mountains 44.2%40.8%4.3%1.1%
Provincial averageNewfoundland and Labrador 34.1% +10.1 51.6% −10.8 5.8% −1.5 0.3% +0.8
National averageCanada 34.8% +9.4 41.9% −1.1 14.2% −9.9 1.0% +0.1

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
7.5 pts
Turnout
65.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
-3.8 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Carol Anstey Elected Conservative 23,232 50.3 Real Estate Broker
Don Bradshaw Liberal 19,726 42.7 Retired
Sarah Parsons NDP 2,011 4.4 Child and Youth Worker
Robbie Coles Independent 637 1.4 Offshore Oil and Gas Coordinator
Pamela Geiger PPC 537 1.2 Author

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 0.1%
  • Anglophone 99.4%
  • Non-francophone (other) 0.5%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46