Riding profile
Sydney--Glace Bay
The question
Sydney--Glace Bay: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Sydney--Glace Bay, a mixed riding in Nova Scotia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 53% vote share, against 33% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 98% anglophone.
Sitting member
Mike Kelloway
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSydney--Glace Bay | 52.7% | 32.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageNova Scotia | 55.2% −2.5 | 29.9% +2.8 | 6.2% −1.2 | 0.9% +0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +10.8 | 34.8% −2.1 | 14.2% −9.2 | 1.0% +0.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Kelloway Elected | Liberal | 25,766 | 54.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Anna Manley | Conservative | 17,978 | 38.1 | Lawyer |
| Kimberly Losier | NDP | 1,789 | 3.8 | Supervisor of Counter Services |
| Joe Ward | Independent | 601 | 1.3 | Software Developer |
| Jeffrey Evely | PPC | 589 | 1.2 | Retired Veteran |
| Michael Pittman | Other | 189 | 0.4 | Driver |
| Chris Gallant | Other | 169 | 0.4 | Teacher |
| Nik Boisvert | Other | 85 | 0.2 | Production Assistant |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.2%
- Anglophone 97.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 2.1%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46