Riding profile
Halifax
The question
Halifax: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Halifax, an urban riding in Nova Scotia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 44-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 62% vote share, against 17% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 90% anglophone.
Sitting member
Shannon Miedema
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 44.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | NDP | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHalifax | 61.7% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageNova Scotia | 55.2% +6.4 | 6.2% +11.1 | 29.9% −17.0 | 1.3% −0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +19.8 | 14.2% +3.1 | 34.8% −21.9 | 2.1% −0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Miedema Elected | Liberal | 32,886 | 63.0 | Environment and Climate Change |
| Mark Boudreau | Conservative | 9,939 | 19.1 | Communications Professional |
| Lisa Roberts | NDP | 8,642 | 16.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Amethyste Hamel-Gregory | Green | 422 | 0.8 | Educational Assistant |
| Maricar Aliasut | PPC | 271 | 0.5 | Property Manager |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.7%
- Anglophone 90.3%
- Non-francophone (other) 9.0%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46