Riding profile
Cape Breton--Canso--Antigonish
The question
Cape Breton--Canso--Antigonish: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 18.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCape Breton--Canso--Antigonish | 53.2% | 34.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Provincial averageNova Scotia | 59.7% −6.5 | 27.7% +7.2 | 4.2% −1.6 | 1.7% −0.9 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +5.2 | 32.1% +2.8 | 10.6% −8.0 | 2.7% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Cape Breton--Canso--Antigonish, a rural riding in Nova Scotia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 53% vote share, against 35% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 3% francophone, 94% anglophone.
Sitting member
Jaime Battiste
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Battiste Elected | Liberal | 24,908 | 51.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Allan MacMaster | Conservative | 20,870 | 43.2 | Provincial Parliamentarian |
| Joanna Clark | NDP | 1,930 | 4.0 | Teacher |
| Ryan Smyth | PPC | 333 | 0.7 | Self-Employed |
| Rebecca Wall | Independent | 237 | 0.5 | Media |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 2.8%
- Anglophone 93.5%
- Non-francophone (other) 3.7%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46