Riding profile
Dartmouth--Cole Harbour
The question
Dartmouth--Cole Harbour: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 57.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDartmouth--Cole Harbour | 72.6% | 14.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Provincial averageNova Scotia | 59.7% +12.9 | 27.7% −12.9 | 4.2% +0.4 | 1.7% +0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +24.6 | 32.1% −17.4 | 10.6% −6.0 | 2.7% −0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Dartmouth--Cole Harbour, an urban riding in Nova Scotia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 45-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 73% vote share, against 15% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 95% anglophone.
Sitting member
Darren Fisher
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Fisher Elected | Liberal | 40,367 | 67.7 | Parliamentarian |
| Isabelle Obeid | Conservative | 13,557 | 22.7 | School Supervisor |
| Keith Morrison | NDP | 4,201 | 7.0 | Teacher |
| Michelle Lindsay | PPC | 750 | 1.3 | Health Advisor |
| Rana Zaman | Green | 628 | 1.1 | Homemaker |
| Joseph Shea | Other | 131 | 0.2 | Retired |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 1.2%
- Anglophone 95.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 3.8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46