Riding profile

Sackville--Bedford--Preston

Federal riding — NS · Mixed · atlantic

The question

Sackville--Bedford--Preston: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Sackville--Bedford--Preston, a mixed riding in Nova Scotia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 60% vote share, against 27% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 95% anglophone.

Sitting member

Braedon Clark

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
33.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 60.1%
  • Conservative 27.1%
  • NDP 5.0%
  • Green 1.3%
  • PPC 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereSackville--Bedford--Preston 60.1%27.1%5.0%1.3%
Provincial averageNova Scotia 55.2% +4.8 29.9% −2.8 6.2% −1.2 1.3%
National averageCanada 41.9% +18.2 34.8% −7.7 14.2% −9.2 2.1% −0.8

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
29.4 pts
Turnout
72.8%
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.6 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Braedon Clark Elected Liberal 36,062 62.0 Political Staffer
Dave Carroll Conservative 18,860 32.4 Creative Entrepreneur
Isaac Wilson NDP 2,324 4.0 Pharmacist
Andre Anderson Green 526 0.9 Filmmaker
Ryan Slaney PPC 418 0.7 Security Analyst

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 0.7%
  • Anglophone 94.6%
  • Non-francophone (other) 4.7%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46