Riding profile

Sackville--Bedford--Preston

Federal riding — NS · Mixed · atlantic

The question

Sackville--Bedford--Preston: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
40.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 65.0%
  • Conservative 24.9%
  • NDP 3.0%
  • Green 1.6%
  • PPC 0.7%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. North Island--Powell RiverConservative45 %1.2 pt margin
  2. Central NewfoundlandConservative57 %1.4 pt margin
  3. Richmond Hill SouthLiberal55 %1.4 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereSackville--Bedford--Preston 65.0%24.9%3.0%1.6%
Provincial averageNova Scotia 59.7% +5.2 27.7% −2.7 4.2% −1.2 1.7%
National averageCanada 48.0% +17.0 32.1% −7.2 10.6% −7.6 2.7% −1.1

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Sackville--Bedford--Preston, a mixed riding in Nova Scotia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 65% vote share, against 25% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 95% anglophone.

Sitting member

Braedon Clark

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Previous election · 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
29.4 pts
Turnout
72.8%
Margin shift vs current projection
+10.6 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Braedon Clark Elected Liberal 36,062 62.0 Political Staffer
Dave Carroll Conservative 18,860 32.4 Creative Entrepreneur
Isaac Wilson NDP 2,324 4.0 Pharmacist
Andre Anderson Green 526 0.9 Filmmaker
Ryan Slaney PPC 418 0.7 Security Analyst

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 0.7%
  • Anglophone 94.6%
  • Non-francophone (other) 4.7%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46