Battersea
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 18.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Battersea | 40.8% | 22.3% | 12.9% | 11.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 26.5%+14.3 | 20.0%+2.2 | 9.7%+3.2 | 22.3%−11.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 110,258 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 32 |
| Employment rate | 84.4% |
Current member
Marsha De Cordova · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 25.6 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 18.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marsha De Cordova Elected | Labour | 22,983 | 48.8 |
| Tom Pridham | Conservative | 10,944 | 23.2 |
| Francis Chubb | Lib Dems | 4,826 | 10.2 |
| Joe Taylor | Green | 4,239 | 9.0 |
| Barry Edwards | Reform UK | 2,825 | 6.0 |
| Daniel Smith | Other | 499 | 1.1 |
| Georgina Burford-Connole | Other | 401 | 0.9 |
| Jake Thomas | Other | 216 | 0.5 |
| Ed Dampier | Other | 149 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Tooting Labour, safe seat
- Clapham and Brixton Hill Labour, safe seat
- Chelsea and Fulham Conservative, toss-up
- Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour, safe seat
- Cities of London and Westminster Labour, toss-up
- Putney Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated