Riding profile

Battersea

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Battersea: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Battersea, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 37% vote share, against 20% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Marsha De Cordova

Sits with Labour

Since
2017-06-08
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
15.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 36.5%
  • Conservative 19.7%
  • Green 15.1%
  • Reform UK 14.6%
  • Lib Dems 10.1%
  • Other 3.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Conservative Green Reform UK
HereBattersea 36.5%19.7%15.1%14.6%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +14.9 18.9% +0.8 11.8% +3.2 25.3% −10.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
25.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-10.5 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Marsha De Cordova Elected Labour 22,983 48.8
Tom Pridham Conservative 10,944 23.2
Francis Chubb Lib Dems 4,826 10.3
Joe Taylor Green 4,239 9.0
Barry Edwards Reform UK 2,825 6.0
Daniel Smith Other 499 1.1
Georgina Burford-Connole Other 401 0.8
Jake Thomas Other 216 0.5
Ed Dampier Other 149 0.3

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
110,258
Median age
32
Employment rate
84.4%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029