Riding profile
Chelsea and Fulham
The question
Chelsea and Fulham: will Labour lose this seat to Conservative?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereChelsea and Fulham | 33.9% | 27.3% | 16.4% | 10.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +14.6 | 21.8% +5.5 | 25.4% −9.0 | 10.8% −0.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Chelsea and Fulham, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 34% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ben Coleman
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Coleman Elected | Labour | 18,556 | 39.4 | — |
| Greg Hands | Conservative | 18,404 | 39.1 | — |
| Blaise Baquiche | Lib Dems | 3,611 | 7.7 | — |
| Anthony Goodwin | Reform UK | 3,144 | 6.7 | — |
| Mona Crocker | Green | 2,798 | 5.9 | — |
| Sabi Patwary | Other | 538 | 1.1 | — |
| David Poulden | Other | 65 | 0.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029