Riding profile

Queen's Park and Maida Vale

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Queen's Park and Maida Vale: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Queen's Park and Maida Vale, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 39-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 36% vote share, against 25% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Georgia Gould

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 36.4%
  • Green 24.7%
  • Reform UK 13.9%
  • Conservative 9.5%
  • Lib Dems 9.4%
  • Other 5.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Conservative
HereQueen's Park and Maida Vale 36.4%24.7%13.9%9.5%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +14.8 11.8% +12.9 25.3% −11.5 18.9% −9.4

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
38.9 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-28.9 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Georgia Gould Elected Labour 20,126 52.5
Vivien Lichtenstein Green 5,213 13.6
Samia Hersi Conservative 5,088 13.3
Helen Baxter Lib Dems 3,417 8.9
Angela Carter-Begbie Reform UK 2,106 5.5
Irakli Menabde Other 1,792 4.7
Abdulla Dharamsi Other 601 1.6

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
123,834
Median age
35
Employment rate
74.8%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029