Riding profile

Hampstead and Highgate

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Hampstead and Highgate: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Hampstead and Highgate, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 36% vote share, against 20% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Tulip Siddiq

Sits with Labour

Since
2015-05-07
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
14.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 36.1%
  • Green 20.4%
  • Reform UK 14.0%
  • Conservative 13.4%
  • Lib Dems 12.8%
  • Other 3.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Conservative
HereHampstead and Highgate 36.1%20.4%14.0%13.4%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +14.5 11.8% +8.6 25.3% −11.3 18.9% −5.5

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
30.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-16.7 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Tulip Siddiq Elected Labour 23,432 48.3
Don Williams Conservative 8,462 17.4
Lorna Russell Green 6,630 13.7
Scott Emery Lib Dems 6,181 12.7
Catherine Becker Reform UK 2,940 6.1
Christie Elan-Cane Other 532 1.1
Jonathan Livingstone Other 373 0.8

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
118,855
Median age
36
Employment rate
73.3%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029