Riding profile
Holborn and St Pancras
The question
Holborn and St Pancras: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 19.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Other | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHolborn and St Pancras | 38.0% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 14.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +16.2 | 5.0% +13.1 | 10.8% +6.6 | 25.4% −11.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Holborn and St Pancras, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 38% vote share, against 18% for another party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sir Keir Starmer
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keir Starmer Elected | Labour | 18,884 | 48.9 | — |
| Andrew Feinstein | Other | 7,312 | 18.9 | — |
| David Stansell | Green | 4,030 | 10.4 | — |
| Mehreen Malik | Conservative | 2,776 | 7.2 | — |
| David Roberts | Reform UK | 2,371 | 6.1 | — |
| Charlie Clinton | Lib Dems | 2,236 | 5.8 | — |
| Wais Islam | Other | 636 | 1.6 | — |
| Nick the Incredible Flying Brick | Other | 162 | 0.4 | — |
| John Poynton | Other | 75 | 0.2 | — |
| Tom Scripps | Other | 61 | 0.2 | — |
| Senthil Kumar | Other | 40 | 0.1 | — |
| Bobby Smith | Other | 19 | 0.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Cities of London and WestminsterConservative Toss-upOpen →
- Hampstead and HighgateLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Islington NorthOther Safe seatOpen →
- Islington South and FinsburyLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Hornsey and Friern BarnetLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Vauxhall and Camberwell GreenLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029