Riding profile

Vauxhall and Camberwell Green

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Vauxhall and Camberwell Green: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Vauxhall and Camberwell Green, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 40-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 42% vote share, against 26% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Florence Eshalomi

Sits with Labour

Since
2019-12-12
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
13.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 42.0%
  • Green 26.4%
  • Reform UK 12.4%
  • Lib Dems 11.3%
  • Conservative 5.5%
  • Other 2.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Lib Dems
HereVauxhall and Camberwell Green 42.0%26.4%12.4%11.3%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +20.4 11.8% +14.6 25.3% −12.9 11.6% −0.3

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
40.3 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-26.7 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Florence Eshalomi Elected Labour 21,528 57.4 —
Catherine Dawkins Green 6,416 17.1 —
Chris French Lib Dems 4,549 12.1 —
Aarti Joshi Conservative 2,809 7.5 —
Mike King Reform UK 2,033 5.4 —
Andrew McRobbie Other 201 0.5 —

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
105,263
Median age
32
Employment rate
77.2%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029