Riding profile
Bermondsey and Old Southwark
The question
Bermondsey and Old Southwark: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Lib Dems | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBermondsey and Old Southwark | 36.2% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 14.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +14.4 | 11.4% +10.3 | 10.8% +5.0 | 25.4% −10.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Bermondsey and Old Southwark, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 21-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 36% vote share, against 22% for the Lib Dems, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Neil Coyle
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Coyle Elected | Labour | 16,857 | 44.8 | — |
| Rachel Bentley | Lib Dems | 9,070 | 24.1 | — |
| Susan Hunter | Green | 4,477 | 11.9 | — |
| Tony Sharp | Reform UK | 3,397 | 9.0 | — |
| Jonathan Iliff | Conservative | 2,879 | 7.7 | — |
| Piers Corbyn | Other | 403 | 1.1 | — |
| Niko Omilana | Other | 273 | 0.7 | — |
| Barry Duckett | Other | 247 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029