Riding profile
Bermondsey and Old Southwark
The question
Bermondsey and Old Southwark: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Bermondsey and Old Southwark, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 21-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 36% vote share, against 23% for the Lib Dems, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Neil Coyle
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Lib Dems | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBermondsey and Old Southwark | 36.3% | 22.6% | 15.8% | 15.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +14.7 | 11.6% +11.0 | 25.3% −9.6 | 11.8% +3.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Coyle Elected | Labour | 16,857 | 44.8 | — |
| Rachel Bentley | Lib Dems | 9,070 | 24.1 | — |
| Susan Hunter | Green | 4,477 | 11.9 | — |
| Tony Sharp | Reform UK | 3,397 | 9.0 | — |
| Jonathan Iliff | Conservative | 2,879 | 7.7 | — |
| Piers Corbyn | Other | 403 | 1.1 | — |
| Niko Omilana | Other | 273 | 0.7 | — |
| Barry Duckett | Other | 247 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029