Riding profile
Poplar and Limehouse
The question
Poplar and Limehouse: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePoplar and Limehouse | 33.5% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 12.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +11.6 | 10.8% +8.8 | 25.4% −11.6 | 5.0% +7.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Poplar and Limehouse, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 33% vote share, against 20% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Apsana Begum
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apsana Begum Elected | Labour | 18,535 | 43.0 | — |
| Nathalie Bienfait | Green | 5,975 | 13.9 | — |
| Freddie Downing | Conservative | 4,738 | 11.0 | — |
| Ehtashamul Haque | Other | 4,554 | 10.6 | — |
| Richard Flowers | Lib Dems | 4,189 | 9.7 | — |
| Tony Glover | Reform UK | 3,403 | 7.9 | — |
| Kamran Khan | Other | 1,463 | 3.4 | — |
| Manny Lawal | Other | 194 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029