Stratford and Bow
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Other | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford and Bow | 38.3% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 12.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 26.5%+11.8 | 9.7%+12.5 | 5.1%+11.7 | 22.3%−10.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 132,023 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 31 |
| Employment rate | 69.6% |
Current member
Uma Kumaran · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 21.9 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 16.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uma Kumaran Elected | Labour | 19,145 | 44.1 |
| Joe Hudson-Small | Green | 7,511 | 17.3 |
| Halima Khan | Other | 3,274 | 7.5 |
| Kane Blackwell | Conservative | 3,114 | 7.2 |
| Nizam Ali | Other | 2,380 | 5.5 |
| Jeff Evans | Reform UK | 2,093 | 4.8 |
| Janey Little | Lib Dems | 1,926 | 4.4 |
| Omar Faruk | Other | 1,826 | 4.2 |
| Fiona Lali | Other | 1,791 | 4.1 |
| Steve Hedley | Other | 375 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- West Ham and Beckton Labour, safe seat
- Leyton and Wanstead Labour, safe seat
- Poplar and Limehouse Labour, safe seat
- East Ham Labour, safe seat
- Walthamstow Labour, safe seat
- Greenwich and Woolwich Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated