Riding profile

Stratford and Bow

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Stratford and Bow: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Stratford and Bow, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 32% vote share, against 24% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Uma Kumaran

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
5.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 31.5%
  • Green 24.4%
  • Other 17.1%
  • Reform UK 13.6%
  • Lib Dems 7.4%
  • Conservative 5.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Other Reform UK
HereStratford and Bow 31.5%24.4%17.1%13.6%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +9.9 11.8% +12.5 4.8% +12.3 25.3% −11.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
21.9 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-16.2 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Uma Kumaran Elected Labour 19,145 44.1
Joe Hudson-Small Green 7,511 17.3
Halima Khan Other 3,274 7.5
Kane Blackwell Conservative 3,114 7.2
Nizam Ali Other 2,380 5.5
Jeff Evans Reform UK 2,093 4.8
Janey Little Lib Dems 1,926 4.4
Omar Faruk Other 1,826 4.2
Fiona Lali Other 1,791 4.1
Steve Hedley Other 375 0.9

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
132,023
Median age
31
Employment rate
69.6%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029