Riding profile
Walthamstow
The question
Walthamstow: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 17.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWalthamstow | 44.2% | 27.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +22.4 | 10.8% +16.4 | 25.4% −14.7 | 5.0% +3.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Walthamstow, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 39-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 44% vote share, against 27% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ms Stella Creasy
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stella Creasy Elected | Labour | 27,172 | 59.5 | — |
| Rosalind Rowlands | Green | 9,176 | 20.1 | — |
| Sanjana Karnani | Conservative | 2,353 | 5.2 | — |
| Martin Lonergan | Reform UK | 1,836 | 4.0 | — |
| Rebecca Taylor | Lib Dems | 1,736 | 3.8 | — |
| Imran Arshad | Other | 1,535 | 3.4 | — |
| Mohammed Ashfaq | Other | 914 | 2.0 | — |
| Nancy Taaffe | Other | 561 | 1.2 | — |
| Dan Edelstyn | Other | 288 | 0.6 | — |
| Ruth Rawlins | Other | 97 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029