Riding profile
Hackney North and Stoke Newington
The question
Hackney North and Stoke Newington: will Independent lose this seat to Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHackney North and Stoke Newington | 43.4% | 29.6% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +21.6 | 10.8% +18.8 | 25.4% −14.3 | 19.3% −12.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Hackney North and Stoke Newington, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 43% vote share, against 30% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ms Diane Abbott
Sits with Independent
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diane Abbott Elected | Labour | 24,355 | 59.5 | — |
| Antoinette Fernandez | Green | 9,275 | 22.6 | — |
| David Landau | Conservative | 3,457 | 8.4 | — |
| Rebecca Jones | Lib Dems | 1,562 | 3.8 | — |
| Deborah Cairns | Reform UK | 1,283 | 3.1 | — |
| Ryan Ahmad | Other | 621 | 1.5 | — |
| Knigel Knapp | Other | 224 | 0.6 | — |
| Kombat Diva | Other | 182 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029