Riding profile
Hackney North and Stoke Newington
The question
Hackney North and Stoke Newington: will Independent lose this seat to Labour?
Editorial read
Hackney North and Stoke Newington, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 42% vote share, against 32% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ms Diane Abbott
Sits with Independent
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHackney North and Stoke Newington | 42.3% | 32.4% | 10.7% | 6.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +20.7 | 11.8% +20.6 | 25.3% −14.7 | 18.9% −12.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diane Abbott Elected | Labour | 24,355 | 59.5 | — |
| Antoinette Fernandez | Green | 9,275 | 22.6 | — |
| David Landau | Conservative | 3,457 | 8.4 | — |
| Rebecca Jones | Lib Dems | 1,562 | 3.8 | — |
| Deborah Cairns | Reform UK | 1,283 | 3.1 | — |
| Ryan Ahmad | Other | 621 | 1.5 | — |
| Knigel Knapp | Other | 224 | 0.6 | — |
| Kombat Diva | Other | 182 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029