Riding profile
Islington South and Finsbury
The question
Islington South and Finsbury: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIslington South and Finsbury | 40.6% | 25.3% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +18.8 | 10.8% +14.5 | 25.4% −11.7 | 11.4% −2.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Islington South and Finsbury, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 41% vote share, against 25% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Emily Thornberry
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Thornberry Elected | Labour | 22,946 | 53.7 | — |
| Carne Ross | Green | 7,491 | 17.5 | — |
| Terry Stacy | Lib Dems | 4,045 | 9.5 | — |
| Imogen Sinclair | Conservative | 3,584 | 8.4 | — |
| Max Nelson | Reform UK | 3,388 | 7.9 | — |
| Andrew Parry | Other | 569 | 1.3 | — |
| Lesley Woodburn | Other | 354 | 0.8 | — |
| Ethan Saunders | Other | 215 | 0.5 | — |
| Jake Painter | Other | 162 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Islington NorthOther Safe seatOpen →
- Holborn and St PancrasLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Hackney South and ShoreditchLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Cities of London and WestminsterConservative Toss-upOpen →
- Bethnal Green and StepneyOther Safe seatOpen →
- Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029