Riding profile
Islington South and Finsbury
The question
Islington South and Finsbury: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Islington South and Finsbury, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 38% vote share, against 28% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Emily Thornberry
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIslington South and Finsbury | 38.0% | 28.5% | 13.8% | 9.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +16.4 | 11.8% +16.6 | 25.3% −11.5 | 11.6% −2.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Thornberry Elected | Labour | 22,946 | 53.7 | — |
| Carne Ross | Green | 7,491 | 17.5 | — |
| Terry Stacy | Lib Dems | 4,045 | 9.5 | — |
| Imogen Sinclair | Conservative | 3,584 | 8.4 | — |
| Max Nelson | Reform UK | 3,388 | 7.9 | — |
| Andrew Parry | Other | 569 | 1.3 | — |
| Lesley Woodburn | Other | 354 | 0.8 | — |
| Ethan Saunders | Other | 215 | 0.5 | — |
| Jake Painter | Other | 162 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Islington NorthOther Safe seatOpen →
- Holborn and St PancrasLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Hackney South and ShoreditchLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Cities of London and WestminsterConservative Toss-upOpen →
- Bethnal Green and StepneyOther Safe seatOpen →
- Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029