Riding profile

Islington North

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Islington North: will Independent lose this seat to Other?

Editorial read

Islington North, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with another party in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 40% vote share, against 23% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Jeremy Corbyn

Sits with Independent

Since
1983-06-09
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Other

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
17.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Other 40.3%
  • Labour 23.3%
  • Green 13.2%
  • Reform UK 11.6%
  • Lib Dems 6.8%
  • Conservative 4.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Other Labour Green Reform UK
HereIslington North 40.3%23.3%13.2%11.6%
National averageUnited Kingdom 4.8% +35.6 21.7% +1.7 11.8% +1.4 25.3% −13.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Other
Margin
14.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.9 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jeremy Corbyn Elected Other 24,120 49.2
Praful Nargund Labour 16,873 34.4
Sheridan Kates Green 2,660 5.4
Karen Harries Conservative 1,950 4.0
Martyn Nelson Reform UK 1,710 3.5
Vikas Aggarwal Lib Dems 1,661 3.4
Paul Josling Other 32 0.1

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
110,100
Median age
33
Employment rate
74.8%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029