Riding profile
Tottenham
The question
Tottenham: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Tottenham, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 40% vote share, against 30% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Mr David Lammy
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTottenham | 40.3% | 29.7% | 11.7% | 7.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +18.7 | 11.8% +17.9 | 25.3% −13.7 | 4.8% +2.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lammy Elected | Labour | 23,066 | 57.5 | — |
| David Craig | Green | 7,632 | 19.0 | — |
| Nandita Lal | Other | 2,348 | 5.8 | — |
| Attic Rahman | Conservative | 2,320 | 5.8 | — |
| Hari Prabu | Lib Dems | 1,928 | 4.8 | — |
| Roger Gravett | Reform UK | 1,602 | 4.0 | — |
| Jennifer Obaseki | Other | 659 | 1.6 | — |
| Andrew Miles | Other | 306 | 0.8 | — |
| Amelia Allao | Other | 224 | 0.6 | — |
| Pamela Holmes | Other | 63 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029