Riding profile

Hackney South and Shoreditch

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Hackney South and Shoreditch: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Hackney South and Shoreditch, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 42% vote share, against 34% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Dame Meg Hillier

Sits with Labour

Since
2005-05-05
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
5.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 41.8%
  • Green 34.1%
  • Reform UK 10.5%
  • Lib Dems 5.7%
  • Conservative 3.9%
  • Other 3.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Lib Dems
HereHackney South and Shoreditch 41.8%34.1%10.5%5.7%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +20.1 11.8% +22.3 25.3% −14.8 11.6% −6.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
35.3 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-30.0 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Meg Hillier Elected Labour 24,724 59.3
Laura-Louise Fairley Green 9,987 23.9
Joanna Reeves Conservative 2,076 5.0
Theo Roos Lib Dems 1,996 4.8
Anil Bhatti Reform UK 1,601 3.8
Shahed Hussain Other 1,007 2.4
Carol Small Other 310 0.7

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
114,399
Median age
32
Employment rate
75.4%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029