Riding profile
Bethnal Green and Stepney
The question
Bethnal Green and Stepney: will Labour lose this seat to Other?
Editorial read
Bethnal Green and Stepney, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 30% vote share, against 22% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Rushanara Ali
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Other
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Labour | Green | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBethnal Green and Stepney | 29.8% | 22.1% | 18.8% | 13.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +25.0 | 21.7% +0.5 | 11.8% +7.0 | 11.6% +1.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushanara Ali Elected | Labour | 15,896 | 34.1 | — |
| Ajmal Masroor | Other | 14,207 | 30.5 | — |
| Phoebe Gill | Green | 6,391 | 13.7 | — |
| Rabina Khan | Lib Dems | 4,777 | 10.2 | — |
| Peter Sceats | Reform UK | 1,964 | 4.2 | — |
| Oscar Reaney | Conservative | 1,920 | 4.1 | — |
| Vanessa Hudson | Other | 348 | 0.8 | — |
| Sham Uddin | Other | 325 | 0.7 | — |
| Md Somon Ahmed | Other | 315 | 0.7 | — |
| Reggie Adams | Other | 271 | 0.6 | — |
| Jon Mabbutt | Other | 233 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029