Riding profile
Cities of London and Westminster
The question
Cities of London and Westminster: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 92%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCities of London and Westminster | 27.7% | 27.4% | 16.4% | 12.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +8.4 | 21.8% +5.6 | 25.4% −9.0 | 10.8% +1.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Cities of London and Westminster, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 28% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Rachel Blake
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Blake Elected | Labour | 15,302 | 39.0 | — |
| Tim Barnes | Conservative | 12,594 | 32.1 | — |
| Edward Lucas | Lib Dems | 4,335 | 11.1 | — |
| Rajiv Sinha | Green | 2,844 | 7.3 | — |
| Tarun Ghulati | Reform UK | 2,752 | 7.0 | — |
| Hoz Shafiei | Other | 727 | 1.9 | — |
| Liz Burford | Other | 352 | 0.9 | — |
| Huge De Burgh | Other | 110 | 0.3 | — |
| John Generic | Other | 110 | 0.3 | — |
| Tim Hallett | Other | 55 | 0.1 | — |
| Matthew Carr | Other | 34 | 0.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029