Riding profile
Hornsey and Friern Barnet
The question
Hornsey and Friern Barnet: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Hornsey and Friern Barnet, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 44-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 43% vote share, against 25% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Catherine West
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Lib Dems | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHornsey and Friern Barnet | 42.6% | 25.1% | 12.9% | 10.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +20.9 | 11.8% +13.3 | 11.6% +1.3 | 25.3% −14.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine West Elected | Labour | 28,535 | 58.7 | — |
| Fabio Vollono | Green | 7,060 | 14.5 | — |
| Dawn Barnes | Lib Dems | 6,099 | 12.5 | — |
| Naz Panju | Conservative | 4,011 | 8.3 | — |
| Navdeep Singh | Reform UK | 1,989 | 4.1 | — |
| Dino Philippos | Other | 766 | 1.6 | — |
| Helen Spiby-Vann | Other | 182 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029