Riding profile
Southgate and Wood Green
The question
Southgate and Wood Green: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 22.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSouthgate and Wood Green | 38.3% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 15.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +16.5 | 25.4% −9.0 | 19.3% −3.9 | 10.8% +4.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Southgate and Wood Green, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 34-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 38% vote share, against 16% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Bambos Charalambous
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bambos Charalambous Elected | Labour | 23,337 | 51.1 | — |
| Eric Sukumaran | Conservative | 8,037 | 17.6 | — |
| Charith Gunawardena | Green | 5,607 | 12.3 | — |
| Lauren Fulbright | Lib Dems | 3,925 | 8.6 | — |
| Lucy O'Sullivan | Reform UK | 3,147 | 6.9 | — |
| Geoff Moseley | Other | 833 | 1.8 | — |
| Karl Vidol | Other | 785 | 1.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029