Riding profile
Enfield North
The question
Enfield North: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Enfield North, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 36% vote share, against 20% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Feryal Clark
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEnfield North | 35.8% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 14.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +14.1 | 25.3% −5.1 | 18.9% −2.0 | 11.8% +2.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feryal Clark Elected | Labour | 21,368 | 49.1 | — |
| Chris Dey | Conservative | 8,632 | 19.9 | — |
| Stephen Bird | Reform UK | 5,146 | 11.8 | — |
| Isobel Whittaker | Green | 3,713 | 8.5 | — |
| Guy Russo | Lib Dems | 2,517 | 5.8 | — |
| Ertan Karpazli | Other | 1,448 | 3.3 | — |
| Aishat Anifowoshe | Other | 668 | 1.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029