Riding profile
Finchley and Golders Green
The question
Finchley and Golders Green: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereFinchley and Golders Green | 30.6% | 28.5% | 17.3% | 10.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +11.2 | 21.8% +6.7 | 25.4% −8.1 | 10.8% −0.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Finchley and Golders Green, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 31% vote share, against 29% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sarah Sackman
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Sackman Elected | Labour | 21,857 | 44.3 | — |
| Alex Deane | Conservative | 17,276 | 35.0 | — |
| Sarah Hoyle | Lib Dems | 3,375 | 6.8 | — |
| Steve Parsons | Green | 3,107 | 6.3 | — |
| Giuseppe Pezzulli | Reform UK | 2,598 | 5.3 | — |
| Brendan Patrick Donnelly | Other | 486 | 1.0 | — |
| Katharine Margaret Murphy | Other | 318 | 0.7 | — |
| Michael Shad | Other | 272 | 0.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029