Riding profile
Hendon
The question
Hendon: will Labour lose this seat to Conservative?
Editorial read
Hendon, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 32% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
David Pinto-Duschinsky
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHendon | 32.4% | 26.7% | 17.7% | 11.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +13.5 | 21.7% +5.1 | 25.3% −7.6 | 11.8% −0.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pinto-Duschinsky Elected | Labour | 15,855 | 38.4 | — |
| Ameet Jogia | Conservative | 15,840 | 38.4 | — |
| Joshua Pearl | Reform UK | 3,038 | 7.4 | — |
| Gabrielle Bailey | Green | 2,667 | 6.5 | — |
| Clareine Enderby | Lib Dems | 1,966 | 4.8 | — |
| Imtiaz Palekar | Other | 1,518 | 3.7 | — |
| Ben Rend | Other | 233 | 0.6 | — |
| Jane Gibson | Other | 139 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029