Riding profile
Brent West
The question
Brent West: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Brent West, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 30% vote share, against 27% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Barry Gardiner
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.6
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrent West | 30.1% | 26.9% | 15.4% | 12.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +8.4 | 18.9% +8.0 | 25.3% −9.9 | 11.8% +0.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Gardiner Elected | Labour | 17,258 | 41.7 | — |
| Sushil Rapatwar | Conservative | 13,465 | 32.5 | — |
| Paul Lorber | Lib Dems | 3,013 | 7.3 | — |
| Baston De'Medici-Jaguar | Green | 2,805 | 6.8 | — |
| Nadia Klok | Other | 2,774 | 6.7 | — |
| Ian Collier | Reform UK | 2,061 | 5.0 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029