Riding profile

Ealing Central and Acton

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Ealing Central and Acton: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Ealing Central and Acton, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 36% vote share, against 17% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Dr Rupa Huq

Sits with Labour

Since
2015-05-07
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
17.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 35.7%
  • Green 16.8%
  • Reform UK 14.7%
  • Conservative 14.3%
  • Lib Dems 13.0%
  • Other 5.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Conservative
HereEaling Central and Acton 35.7%16.8%14.7%14.3%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +14.0 11.8% +4.9 25.3% −10.7 18.9% −4.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
29.3 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-11.9 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Rupa Huq Elected Labour 22,340 46.8
James Windsor-Clive Conservative 8,345 17.5
Alastair Mitton Lib Dems 6,056 12.7
Kate Crossland Green 5,444 11.4
Felix Orrell Reform UK 3,105 6.5
Nada Jarche Other 1,766 3.7
Stephen Balogh Other 410 0.9
Julie Carter Other 303 0.6

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
134,291
Median age
35
Employment rate
71.6%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029