Riding profile
Ealing Central and Acton
The question
Ealing Central and Acton: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Conservative | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEaling Central and Acton | 36.6% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +14.8 | 19.3% −3.1 | 10.8% +3.7 | 25.4% −11.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Ealing Central and Acton, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 37% vote share, against 16% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dr Rupa Huq
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rupa Huq Elected | Labour | 22,340 | 46.8 | — |
| James Windsor-Clive | Conservative | 8,345 | 17.5 | — |
| Alastair Mitton | Lib Dems | 6,056 | 12.7 | — |
| Kate Crossland | Green | 5,444 | 11.4 | — |
| Felix Orrell | Reform UK | 3,105 | 6.5 | — |
| Nada Jarche | Other | 1,766 | 3.7 | — |
| Stephen Balogh | Other | 410 | 0.9 | — |
| Julie Carter | Other | 303 | 0.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029