Riding profile
Hammersmith and Chiswick
The question
Hammersmith and Chiswick: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 23.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHammersmith and Chiswick | 40.1% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 14.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +18.3 | 19.3% −2.3 | 25.4% −11.2 | 10.8% +3.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Hammersmith and Chiswick, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 33-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 40% vote share, against 17% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Andy Slaughter
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Slaughter Elected | Labour | 24,073 | 52.3 | — |
| Andrew Dinsmore | Conservative | 8,783 | 19.1 | — |
| Naranee Ruthra-Rajan | Green | 4,468 | 9.7 | — |
| Eraj Rostaqi | Lib Dems | 4,292 | 9.3 | — |
| Louise Petano-Heathcote | Reform UK | 2,929 | 6.4 | — |
| Bill Colegrave | Other | 821 | 1.8 | — |
| Raj Gill | Other | 439 | 0.9 | — |
| Scott Dore | Other | 216 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029