Riding profile
Twickenham
The question
Twickenham: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 37.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTwickenham | 52.3% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +41.0 | 25.4% −10.6 | 19.3% −6.4 | 21.8% −12.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Twickenham, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 40-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 52% vote share, against 15% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Munira Wilson
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munira Wilson Elected | Lib Dems | 30,185 | 56.3 | — |
| Jonathan Hulley | Conservative | 8,728 | 16.3 | — |
| Tom Bruce | Labour | 6,693 | 12.5 | — |
| Alex Starling | Reform UK | 4,092 | 7.6 | — |
| Chantal Kerr-Sheppard | Green | 3,590 | 6.7 | — |
| Umair Malik | Other | 347 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029