Riding profile
Brentford and Isleworth
The question
Brentford and Isleworth: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrentford and Isleworth | 33.0% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 11.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +11.2 | 19.3% +0.5 | 25.4% −7.9 | 10.8% +0.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Brentford and Isleworth, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 33% vote share, against 20% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ruth Cadbury
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruth Cadbury Elected | Labour | 20,007 | 44.2 | — |
| Laura Blumenthal | Conservative | 10,183 | 22.5 | — |
| Freya Summersgill | Green | 4,029 | 8.9 | — |
| David Kerr | Reform UK | 3,940 | 8.7 | — |
| Kuldev Sehra | Lib Dems | 3,863 | 8.5 | — |
| Nisar Malik | Other | 2,746 | 6.1 | — |
| Zebunisa Rao | Other | 486 | 1.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029