Riding profile

Feltham and Heston

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Feltham and Heston: a safe seat for Labour?

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
6.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 29.2%
  • Reform UK 23.1%
  • Conservative 19.2%
  • Other 12.5%
  • Green 9.3%
  • Lib Dems 6.4%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Birmingham ErdingtonReform UK60 %0.5 pt margin
  2. Derby NorthLabour62 %0.5 pt margin
  3. Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastReform UK62 %0.5 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Reform UK Conservative Other
HereFeltham and Heston 29.2%23.1%19.2%12.5%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.8% +7.4 25.4% −2.3 19.3% −0.2 5.0% +7.5

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Editorial read

Feltham and Heston, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 29% vote share, against 23% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Seema Malhotra

Sits with Labour

Since
2011-12-15
Parliament
59th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
20.4 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-14.3 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Seema Malhotra Elected Labour 16,139 41.5
Reva Gudi Conservative 8,195 21.1
Prabhdeep Singh Reform UK 5,130 13.2
Katherine Kandelaki Green 2,543 6.5
Amritpal Singh Mann Other 2,201 5.7
Dhruv Sengupta Lib Dems 1,821 4.7
Abdul Majid Tramboo Other 1,658 4.3
Ian Christopher Brown Other 454 1.2
Aysha Siddika Choudhury Other 373 1.0
Damian Read Other 373 1.0

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
135,036
Median age
36
Employment rate
72.1%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029