Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Feltham and Heston

Westminster constituency · England · London

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 33.0%
  • Reform UK 21.4%
  • Conservative 19.3%
  • Other 11.4%
  • Green 10.1%
  • Lib Dems 4.5%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Labour Reform UK Conservative Other
Feltham and Heston 33.0%21.4%19.3%11.4%
National averageUnited Kingdom 26.5%+6.6 22.3%−0.9 20.0%−0.8 5.1%+6.2

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population135,036
Median age36
Employment rate72.1%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Seema Malhotra · Labour

In office since December 15, 2011. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 20.4 points.

Our current projection: Labour ahead by 11.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Seema Malhotra Elected Labour 16,139 41.5
Reva Gudi Conservative 8,195 21.1
Prabhdeep Singh Reform UK 5,130 13.2
Katherine Kandelaki Green 2,543 6.5
Amritpal Singh Mann Other 2,201 5.7
Dhruv Sengupta Lib Dems 1,821 4.7
Abdul Majid Tramboo Other 1,658 4.3
Ian Christopher Brown Other 454 1.2
Aysha Siddika Choudhury Other 373 1.0
Damian Read Other 373 1.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shireSNP76%1.2-point gap
  2. Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketReform UK46%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative63%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated