Riding profile
Chingford and Woodford Green
The question
Chingford and Woodford Green: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Editorial read
Chingford and Woodford Green, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 30% vote share, against 20% for another party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sir Iain Duncan Smith
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Other | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereChingford and Woodford Green | 29.7% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 17.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +10.8 | 4.8% +14.8 | 25.3% −5.7 | 21.7% −3.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Duncan Smith Elected | Conservative | 17,281 | 35.6 | — |
| Shama Tatler | Labour | 12,524 | 25.8 | — |
| Faiza Shaheen | Other | 12,445 | 25.6 | — |
| Paul Luggeri | Reform UK | 3,653 | 7.5 | — |
| Chris Brody | Green | 1,334 | 2.8 | — |
| Josh Hadley | Lib Dems | 1,275 | 2.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029