Riding profile
Ilford South
The question
Ilford South: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.8
- P(close race)
- 3%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Other | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIlford South | 29.5% | 23.7% | 15.7% | 13.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +7.7 | 5.0% +18.7 | 25.4% −9.7 | 10.8% +2.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Ilford South, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 29% vote share, against 24% for another party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jas Athwal
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jas Athwal Elected | Labour | 16,537 | 40.2 | — |
| Noor Begum | Other | 9,643 | 23.4 | — |
| Sayeed Syduzzaman | Conservative | 6,142 | 14.9 | — |
| Syed Siddiqi | Green | 3,437 | 8.3 | — |
| Raj Forhad | Reform UK | 2,329 | 5.7 | — |
| Golam Tipu | Other | 1,366 | 3.3 | — |
| Richard Clare | Lib Dems | 1,340 | 3.3 | — |
| Andy Walker | Other | 376 | 0.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029