Riding profile
Ilford South
The question
Ilford South: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Ilford South, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 27% vote share, against 21% for another party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Jas Athwal
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.5
- P(close race)
- 90%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Other | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIlford South | 27.3% | 21.3% | 16.9% | 16.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +5.6 | 4.8% +16.5 | 25.3% −8.5 | 11.8% +4.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jas Athwal Elected | Labour | 16,537 | 40.2 | — |
| Noor Begum | Other | 9,643 | 23.4 | — |
| Sayeed Syduzzaman | Conservative | 6,142 | 14.9 | — |
| Syed Siddiqi | Green | 3,437 | 8.3 | — |
| Raj Forhad | Reform UK | 2,329 | 5.7 | — |
| Golam Tipu | Other | 1,366 | 3.3 | — |
| Richard Clare | Lib Dems | 1,340 | 3.3 | — |
| Andy Walker | Other | 376 | 0.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029