Riding profile
East Ham
The question
East Ham: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 19.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Other | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEast Ham | 38.0% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 13.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +16.1 | 5.0% +13.8 | 10.8% +5.3 | 25.4% −11.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
East Ham, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 38% vote share, against 19% for another party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sir Stephen Timms
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Timms Elected | Labour | 19,570 | 51.6 | — |
| Tahir Mirza | Other | 6,707 | 17.7 | — |
| Rosie Pearce | Green | 4,226 | 11.2 | — |
| Maria Higson | Conservative | 3,876 | 10.2 | — |
| Daniel Oxley | Reform UK | 1,340 | 3.5 | — |
| Hillary Briffa | Lib Dems | 1,210 | 3.2 | — |
| Anand Kumar Sundar | Other | 578 | 1.5 | — |
| Sathish Mohan Ramadoss | Other | 385 | 1.0 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029