Riding profile

Ilford North

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Ilford North: will Labour lose this seat to Other?

Editorial read

Ilford North, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 30% vote share, against 21% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Wes Streeting

Sits with Labour

Since
2015-05-07
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Other

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
10.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Other 29.5%
  • Labour 20.6%
  • Reform UK 17.5%
  • Conservative 16.4%
  • Green 10.4%
  • Lib Dems 5.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Other Labour Reform UK Conservative
HereIlford North 29.5%20.6%17.5%16.4%
National averageUnited Kingdom 4.8% +24.8 21.7% −1.0 25.3% −7.8 18.9% −2.5

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
1.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+9.0 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Wes Streeting Elected Labour 15,647 33.4
Leanne Mohamad Other 15,119 32.2
Kaz Rizvi Conservative 9,619 20.5
Alex Wilson Reform UK 3,621 7.7
Rachel Collinson Green 1,794 3.8
Fraser Coppin Lib Dems 1,088 2.3

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
120,092
Median age
36
Employment rate
69.4%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029