Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Ilford North

Westminster constituency · England · London

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives Labour a 81% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.4 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 91%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 28.1%
  • Other 26.0%
  • Conservative 19.5%
  • Reform UK 15.8%
  • Green 8.4%
  • Lib Dems 1.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Labour Other Conservative Reform UK
Ilford North 28.1%26.0%19.5%15.8%
National averageUnited Kingdom 26.5%+1.6 5.1%+20.9 20.0%−0.6 22.3%−6.4

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population120,092
Median age36
Employment rate69.4%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Wes Streeting · Labour

In office since May 7, 2015. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 1.1 points.

Our current projection: Labour ahead by 2.4 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Wes Streeting Elected Labour 15,647 33.4
Leanne Mohamad Other 15,119 32.2
Kaz Rizvi Conservative 9,619 20.5
Alex Wilson Reform UK 3,621 7.7
Rachel Collinson Green 1,794 3.8
Fraser Coppin Lib Dems 1,088 2.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shireSNP76%1.2-point gap
  2. Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketReform UK46%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative63%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated