Riding profile

West Ham and Beckton

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

West Ham and Beckton: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

West Ham and Beckton, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 32% vote share, against 18% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

James Asser

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
12.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 31.7%
  • Reform UK 17.8%
  • Other 17.0%
  • Green 16.9%
  • Conservative 8.8%
  • Lib Dems 7.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Reform UK Other Green
HereWest Ham and Beckton 31.7%17.8%17.0%16.9%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +10.0 25.3% −7.5 4.8% +12.3 11.8% +5.1

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
23.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-11.2 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
James Asser Elected Labour 16,434 45.2
Sophia Naqvi Other 7,180 19.8
Rob Callender Green 3,897 10.7
Holly Ramsey Conservative 3,781 10.4
Georgie David Reform UK 2,800 7.7
Emily Bigland Lib Dems 1,606 4.4
Kayode Shedowo Other 460 1.3
Lois Austin Other 190 0.5

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
140,177
Median age
32
Employment rate
71.6%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029