Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Greenwich and Woolwich

Westminster constituency · England · London

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 29.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 47.0%
  • Green 17.7%
  • Reform UK 12.9%
  • Conservative 10.6%
  • Lib Dems 7.7%
  • Other 3.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Labour Green Reform UK Conservative
Greenwich and Woolwich 47.0%17.7%12.9%10.6%
National averageUnited Kingdom 26.5%+20.5 9.7%+8.0 22.3%−9.3 20.0%−9.5

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population119,404
Median age33
Employment rate73.9%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Matthew Pennycook · Labour

In office since May 7, 2015. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 43.0 points.

Our current projection: Labour ahead by 29.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Matthew Pennycook Elected Labour 23,999 56.2
Stacy Smith Green 5,633 13.2
Jonathan Goff Conservative 4,863 11.4
Chris Annous Lib Dems 3,865 9.1
Abdoul Aziz Ndiaye Reform UK 3,305 7.7
Sheikh Raquib Other 570 1.3
Niko Omilana Other 311 0.7
Priyank Bakshi Other 173 0.4

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shireSNP76%1.2-point gap
  2. Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketReform UK46%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative63%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated