Riding profile

Greenwich and Woolwich

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Greenwich and Woolwich: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Greenwich and Woolwich, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 43-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 40% vote share, against 24% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Matthew Pennycook

Sits with Labour

Since
2015-05-07
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
14.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 40.2%
  • Green 24.1%
  • Reform UK 13.9%
  • Lib Dems 9.4%
  • Conservative 8.8%
  • Other 3.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Lib Dems
HereGreenwich and Woolwich 40.2%24.1%13.9%9.4%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +18.6 11.8% +12.3 25.3% −11.4 11.6% −2.3

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
43.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-28.8 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Matthew Pennycook Elected Labour 23,999 56.2
Stacy Smith Green 5,633 13.2
Jonathan Goff Conservative 4,863 11.4
Chris Annous Lib Dems 3,865 9.1
Abdoul Aziz Ndiaye Reform UK 3,305 7.7
Sheikh Raquib Other 570 1.3
Niko Omilana Other 311 0.7
Priyank Bakshi Other 173 0.4

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
119,404
Median age
33
Employment rate
73.9%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029