Riding profile

Greenwich and Woolwich

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Greenwich and Woolwich: a safe seat for Labour?

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
21.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 42.3%
  • Green 21.0%
  • Reform UK 14.1%
  • Conservative 9.8%
  • Lib Dems 8.7%
  • Other 3.9%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Birmingham ErdingtonReform UK60 %0.5 pt margin
  2. Derby NorthLabour62 %0.5 pt margin
  3. Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastReform UK62 %0.5 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Conservative
HereGreenwich and Woolwich 42.3%21.0%14.1%9.8%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.8% +20.5 10.8% +10.2 25.4% −11.2 19.3% −9.5

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Editorial read

Greenwich and Woolwich, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 43-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 42% vote share, against 21% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Matthew Pennycook

Sits with Labour

Since
2015-05-07
Parliament
59th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
43.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-21.7 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Matthew Pennycook Elected Labour 23,999 56.2 —
Stacy Smith Green 5,633 13.2 —
Jonathan Goff Conservative 4,863 11.4 —
Chris Annous Lib Dems 3,865 9.1 —
Abdoul Aziz Ndiaye Reform UK 3,305 7.7 —
Sheikh Raquib Other 570 1.3 —
Niko Omilana Other 311 0.7 —
Priyank Bakshi Other 173 0.4 —

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
119,404
Median age
33
Employment rate
73.9%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029